CJS Director Dr. Yujen Kuo shared latest analysis on the security of Taiwan and potential U.S. policies toward Taiwan in Prospect Foundation's Seminar "Taiwan's Role in U.S.' Indo-Pacific Strategy and the Potential Taiwan-U.S. Cooperation" on Feb. 2, 2021, Taipei. 

On China's harrassing Taiwan's southwest airspace almost everyday, Dr. Kuo assessed it could forced the U.S. to integrate Taiwan into its IAMD system. There is no airport available but aircraft carriers for the U.S. military in the area of north of South China Sea, and China's behaviors in Taiwan's airspace is threat to U.S. carriers. In order to affectively control the first islands chain, the U.S. would have to integrate Tawian into IAMD, by equipping Taiwan vessels with Aegis Combat System, and by upgrading Taiwan's air-defense and anti-missile system in order to connect it with U.S. system.

Dr. Kuo also suggested so far Biden Administration adopts Trump's Indo-Pacific strategy framework with some revision. The 2021 Exercise Malabar's participants would tell a clearer detail of Biden's Indo-Pacific strategy, to see whether new allies joined the exercise and it covered the South China Sea.

Reflecting on recent opinions on Kinmen and Dongsha/Pratas Islands as a possible new Cuba crisis and China's surprise invasion to Taiwan, Dr. Kuo found the potential of failure and political costs are still high for China. Dr. Kuo pointed out that China would follow its invisible war strategy that it has adopted toward Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands and the middle-line of Taiwan Strait, by sabotaging and creating new status quo, and then legalizing it by domestic laws.

The seminar was moderated by Prospect Foundation President Dr. I-chung Lai. Prospect Foundation Chairperson Dr. Mark Chen gave opening remarks to the seminar. Taiwan Foundation for Democracy Vice-President Dr. Jiann-Fa Yan also joined the panel discussion.